General Discussion Triathlon Talk » Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time Rss Feed  
Moderators: k9car363, alicefoeller Reply
 
 
of 2
 
 
Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
OptionResults
BQ ~ Sub 3:200 Votes - [0%]
3:40 to 3:490 Votes - [0%]
3:50 to 3:590 Votes - [0%]
4:00 to 4:094 Votes - [10.26%]
4:10 to 4:195 Votes - [12.82%]
4:20 to 4:2914 Votes - [35.9%]
4:30 to 4:408 Votes - [20.51%]
You'll be lucky to drag your fat butt across the finish line8 Votes - [20.51%]

2009-10-21 8:59 PM
in reply to: #2471637

User image

Extreme Veteran
417
100100100100
Davidson
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
Interesting question to me because I am also on the Higdon Intermediate plan, but I don't know if it is I or II.  My plan wraps up the beginning of December in about 6 weeks plus a 1 week taper for a December 12th marathon.  Looks like our paces are fairly close.  If you want, I will drop you an email on December 13th and tell you how you are going to finish!

Don't know what the course you are doing is like, but the Charlotte Marathon is known for being fairly difficult because of the hills.  FWIW, I am not setting a time goal since this is my first marathon.  I have a terrible problem with cramps on my long runs and I really just want to finish.  If I had to guess, I would say it will take me about 4:30.

Greg

ETA- Feel free to check my logs if you are interested.  And I don't know your age, but I am 52.  That could be a big factor.

Edited by trinewby 2009-10-21 9:01 PM


2009-10-21 9:10 PM
in reply to: #2471920

User image

Master
2125
200010025
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
Scout7 - 2009-10-21 4:18 PM

There is a big difference between a 10 mile run and a 26.2 mile run.

I approached my first marathon as 2 x 13 milers. Big mistake. You should really approach a marathon as a 20 mile warmup for a 6.2 mile run. I have crashed and burned in 2 marathons. For your first one, your goal should just be to finish.
2009-10-21 9:23 PM
in reply to: #2471637

Member
195
100252525
Akron, OH
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
If you stick with the plan and don't get injured, I vote 4:15
2009-10-22 9:06 AM
in reply to: #2471637

User image

Champion
6503
50001000500
NOVA - Ironic for an Endurance Athlete
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
Why did I ask?  I am trying to figure out if I made a good bet.

I have a friend who is attempting to BQ.  He has spotted me an hour.  He is training for a 3:10 to 3:15.  I feel like I can pull off a sub-4:10 if everything goes well, but 4:10-4:20 is more likely.
2009-10-22 9:11 AM
in reply to: #2472550

User image

Pro
4277
20002000100100252525
Parker, CO
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time

jonathan22 - 2009-10-21 8:10 PM
Scout7 - 2009-10-21 4:18 PM

There is a big difference between a 10 mile run and a 26.2 mile run.

I approached my first marathon as 2 x 13 milers. Big mistake. You should really approach a marathon as a 20 mile warmup for a 6.2 mile run. I have crashed and burned in 2 marathons. For your first one, your goal should just be to finish.

yep, my first marathon I hit 20-miles at just under 2:15.  Took me 1 1/2 hours to finish the last 10K.  Didn't try the distance again for almost 10-years.  I have a lot of respect for the distance when you are attempting to run your very best!

2009-10-22 10:30 AM
in reply to: #2471637

User image

Elite
5316
5000100100100
Alturas, California
Subject: RE: Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time
It looks like you have a lot of vollume to get in there.  Typically you can't build speed while more than doubling the race distance.  So my bet is around 4:50.  With no 15 + mile runs it is hard to say, but you will probably run at your practice 10 mile run pace and then run slower than that for the last 6 miles.  For now you are just trying to be able to survive at your typical longer run pace for the entire distance.  You can worry about improving on that for your 2nd mary.  First you need to be able to do the distance and then you can do the distance faster.  It is really hard to increase speed while doubling your race distance, typically you end up a little slower than the shorter run pace.   


New Thread
General Discussion Triathlon Talk » Based on my training logs, predict my 1/10/10 Marathon Time Rss Feed  
 
 
of 2